So Long, Suburbs?
Monday, April 5th, 2010
While looking unsuccessfully for an article on something else entirely, I made an important discovery the other day: There is a Freakonomics Blog! How did I not know this? I immediately aborted my previous search and started poring over their archives, and drooling in quantities greater than what is socially acceptable. It’s a complete goldmine of brain candy! After frenetically combing through several sets of search results I resigned myself to the fact that this would become a time-consuming discovery and modified my expectations of reading it all right then.
Of all the posts that caught my eye, the one that caused me to waste the most time at work was this one. It is a quorum on suburbia, wherein the blog authors have tossed the question of suburban future to several topical experts. As a lifelong suburb dweller (minus the six months of my semester abroad) I am fascinated by the idea that my lifestyle is an unsustainable blight on human evolution (or so say some of the respondents). More fascinating still is the idea that within my lifetime said unsustainability of suburban life will reach its tipping point and the suburbs themselves will either radically evolve, or die off altogether.
In reading the responses from the quorum participants I was struck by the range of perspectives. From the apocalyptic to the reasonably foreseeable there is no shortage of ideas about how and where we will live in the future.
- There are many ways of describing the fiasco of suburbia, but these days I refer to it as the greatest misallocation of resources in the history of the world. … People will be moving to the smaller towns and smaller cities because they are more appropriately scaled to the limited energy diet of the future. I believe our big cities will contract substantially — even if they densify back around their old cores and waterfronts. They are products, largely, of the 20th-century cheap energy fiesta and they will be starved in the decades ahead (Kunstler).
- Government services such as police, fire, health, and public works will increase exponentially. To pay for the expanded services, taxes will also increase exponentially to the point where individual paychecks are made payable to the government and deposited directly in the general treasury (Antus).
- The Will and Grace version of gay America — urban, wealthy, and white — is starting to look a bit dated. … Lots of lesbians and gay men now view the suburban home with a white picket fence and a family with 2.5 kids as their version of gay equality (Gates).
- Skyrocketing gas prices will lead some households to reconsider their long commutes, introducing an “anti-suburbanization” force that favors denser, more compact cities (Brueckner).
These quotes are just a taste of the positions represented in the post. Having no idea of my own how realistic any of them is, I find myself feeling like I’ve stepped into a “Choose Your Own Adventure” book where I’m making decisions the ramifications of which I don’t fully understand.
I have a love/hate relationship with suburbia. I love living on a quiet block where kids play in the street. I loathe having to drive everywhere. I love not sharing apartment walls with neighbors. I loathe the mega-market mentality of the suburbs. I love clean fresh air and being able to let my dogs out the back door. I loathe the distance, both literally and metaphorically, that separates me from the cultural epicenter of urban hubs. But in spite of all the time I’ve spent thinking about my own experience in the suburbs, I’d never stopped to consider the broader implications of the lifestyle I have (if by default?) chosen.
It seemed obvious to me once it had been pointed out, but prior to reading the referenced post I’d never really thought about the premise of cheap energy on which the suburban concept is based, nor longevity (or perhaps more accurately, lack thereof) of that concept. Reading through the respondents predictions I was struck by fear (could that really happen?) and incredulity (that could never happen!).
After walking away from the post for a few hours I began to postulate my own theory. Based on an amount of information that is just North of nothing I weighed out what I believe to be some realistic scenarios. My overriding suspicion is that enough Americans have become so supremely entrenched in their suburban lifestyles that the ‘burbs will not, as Kunstler suggests, become wholly abandoned slums. Rather, I suspect that suburbs will still exist, but perhaps in the vein of the small town – accessible by train, including infrastructure for foot traffic, and including more small-scale shops than super-sized retail outlets. Perhaps more suburban office workers will telecommute, which will perhaps prompt an increase in single-car families. These smaller city centers might pop up around larger urban centers (or evolve out of today’s existing suburban landscape). Or, perhaps with the flexibility of working remotely small and medium-sized towns will grow as the members of the suburban exodus look for something with the convenience of an urban center, but without the price tag.
These are all just my mental musings. Mostly, I find this topic fascinating and am enjoying pondering the cultural evolution of the only lifestyle I’ve ever known. I’ve long thought I might someday end up living in a large city. But I never dreamed it would be because energy prices forced me out of my current locale. Clearly, I’ve got some reading to do.




